Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 8:07 AM, 12 voters in 8 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 51,683 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 31,125 - 55,679). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 8:07 AM 850 c(2.5% = 484) c(97.5% = 926)
02 8:07 AM 1326 c(2.5% = 779) c(97.5% = 1413)
03 8:07 AM 709 c(2.5% = 393) c(97.5% = 855)
04 8:07 AM 634 c(2.5% = 348) c(97.5% = 809)
05 8:07 AM 1672 c(2.5% = 976) c(97.5% = 1817)
06 8:07 AM 430 c(2.5% = 291) c(97.5% = 503)
07 8:07 AM 213 c(2.5% = 62) c(97.5% = 461)
08 8:07 AM 1882 c(2.5% = 1061) c(97.5% = 2050)
09 8:07 AM 1188 c(2.5% = 627) c(97.5% = 1357)
10 8:07 AM 990 c(2.5% = 620) c(97.5% = 1176)
11 8:07 AM 413 c(2.5% = 218) c(97.5% = 562)
12 8:07 AM 696 c(2.5% = 416) c(97.5% = 857)
13 8:07 AM 637 c(2.5% = 363) c(97.5% = 810)
14 8:07 AM 272 c(2.5% = 182) c(97.5% = 304)
15 8:07 AM 1089 c(2.5% = 600) c(97.5% = 1165)
16 8:07 AM 329 c(2.5% = 157) c(97.5% = 476)
17 8:07 AM 820 c(2.5% = 464) c(97.5% = 1009)
18 8:07 AM 618 c(2.5% = 373) c(97.5% = 677)
19 8:07 AM 227 c(2.5% = 79) c(97.5% = 436)
20 8:07 AM 220 c(2.5% = 126) c(97.5% = 277)
21 8:07 AM 1976 c(2.5% = 1138) c(97.5% = 2165)
22 8:07 AM 1347 c(2.5% = 820) c(97.5% = 1508)
23 8:07 AM 528 c(2.5% = 267) c(97.5% = 642)
24 8:07 AM 411 c(2.5% = 249) c(97.5% = 470)
25 8:07 AM 463 c(2.5% = 207) c(97.5% = 529)
26 8:07 AM 798 c(2.5% = 423) c(97.5% = 882)
27 8:07 AM 476 c(2.5% = 299) c(97.5% = 536)
28 8:07 AM 353 c(2.5% = 170) c(97.5% = 519)
29 8:07 AM 395 c(2.5% = 245) c(97.5% = 444)
30 8:07 AM 776 c(2.5% = 500) c(97.5% = 825)
31 8:07 AM 625 c(2.5% = 351) c(97.5% = 680)
32 8:07 AM 523 c(2.5% = 267) c(97.5% = 716)
33 8:07 AM 279 c(2.5% = 93) c(97.5% = 486)
34 8:07 AM 1395 c(2.5% = 908) c(97.5% = 1552)
35 8:07 AM 720 c(2.5% = 373) c(97.5% = 871)
36 8:07 AM 1009 c(2.5% = 667) c(97.5% = 1115)
37 8:07 AM 342 c(2.5% = 163) c(97.5% = 496)
38 8:07 AM 728 c(2.5% = 448) c(97.5% = 795)
39 8:07 AM 1788 c(2.5% = 868) c(97.5% = 1969)
40 8:07 AM 1105 c(2.5% = 680) c(97.5% = 1287)
41 8:07 AM 586 c(2.5% = 221) c(97.5% = 727)
42 8:07 AM 452 c(2.5% = 221) c(97.5% = 624)
43 8:07 AM 352 c(2.5% = 148) c(97.5% = 571)
44 8:07 AM 425 c(2.5% = 232) c(97.5% = 541)
45 8:07 AM 621 c(2.5% = 289) c(97.5% = 700)
46 8:07 AM 925 c(2.5% = 602) c(97.5% = 959)
47 8:07 AM 203 c(2.5% = 124) c(97.5% = 242)
48 8:07 AM 511 c(2.5% = 306) c(97.5% = 583)
49 8:07 AM 682 c(2.5% = 399) c(97.5% = 853)
50 8:07 AM 1357 c(2.5% = 858) c(97.5% = 1531)
51 8:07 AM 674 c(2.5% = 400) c(97.5% = 846)
52 8:07 AM 1109 c(2.5% = 650) c(97.5% = 1272)
53 8:07 AM 560 c(2.5% = 248) c(97.5% = 686)
54 8:07 AM 370 c(2.5% = 131) c(97.5% = 502)
55 8:07 AM 833 c(2.5% = 313) c(97.5% = 1040)
56 8:07 AM 1279 c(2.5% = 545) c(97.5% = 1436)
57 8:07 AM 987 c(2.5% = 479) c(97.5% = 1097)
58 8:07 AM 1623 c(2.5% = 778) c(97.5% = 1819)
59 8:07 AM 774 c(2.5% = 491) c(97.5% = 896)
60 8:07 AM 636 c(2.5% = 378) c(97.5% = 743)
61 8:07 AM 712 c(2.5% = 456) c(97.5% = 842)
62 8:07 AM 596 c(2.5% = 228) c(97.5% = 785)
63 8:07 AM 1096 c(2.5% = 548) c(97.5% = 1199)
64 8:07 AM 573 c(2.5% = 240) c(97.5% = 682)
65 8:07 AM 880 c(2.5% = 423) c(97.5% = 971)
66 8:07 AM 1617 c(2.5% = 826) c(97.5% = 1780)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions