Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker
Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.
First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.
Live Results
As of 8:07 AM, 12 voters in 8 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 51,683 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 31,125 - 55,679). In addition, 342,044 mail-in ballots have already been returned, and 93,385 are still outstanding.
Maps
I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.
Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)
In-Person Turnout
Mail-In Requests
Mail-In Ballots Returned
Raw Responses (for debugging)
Submissions
Data Tables
For those of you who like tables with numbers. 
| ward | time_of_day | turnout | turnout_p025 | turnout_p975 |
| 01 | 8:07 AM | 850 |
c(2.5% = 484)
|
c(97.5% = 926)
|
| 02 | 8:07 AM | 1326 |
c(2.5% = 779)
|
c(97.5% = 1413)
|
| 03 | 8:07 AM | 709 |
c(2.5% = 393)
|
c(97.5% = 855)
|
| 04 | 8:07 AM | 634 |
c(2.5% = 348)
|
c(97.5% = 809)
|
| 05 | 8:07 AM | 1672 |
c(2.5% = 976)
|
c(97.5% = 1817)
|
| 06 | 8:07 AM | 430 |
c(2.5% = 291)
|
c(97.5% = 503)
|
| 07 | 8:07 AM | 213 |
c(2.5% = 62)
|
c(97.5% = 461)
|
| 08 | 8:07 AM | 1882 |
c(2.5% = 1061)
|
c(97.5% = 2050)
|
| 09 | 8:07 AM | 1188 |
c(2.5% = 627)
|
c(97.5% = 1357)
|
| 10 | 8:07 AM | 990 |
c(2.5% = 620)
|
c(97.5% = 1176)
|
| 11 | 8:07 AM | 413 |
c(2.5% = 218)
|
c(97.5% = 562)
|
| 12 | 8:07 AM | 696 |
c(2.5% = 416)
|
c(97.5% = 857)
|
| 13 | 8:07 AM | 637 |
c(2.5% = 363)
|
c(97.5% = 810)
|
| 14 | 8:07 AM | 272 |
c(2.5% = 182)
|
c(97.5% = 304)
|
| 15 | 8:07 AM | 1089 |
c(2.5% = 600)
|
c(97.5% = 1165)
|
| 16 | 8:07 AM | 329 |
c(2.5% = 157)
|
c(97.5% = 476)
|
| 17 | 8:07 AM | 820 |
c(2.5% = 464)
|
c(97.5% = 1009)
|
| 18 | 8:07 AM | 618 |
c(2.5% = 373)
|
c(97.5% = 677)
|
| 19 | 8:07 AM | 227 |
c(2.5% = 79)
|
c(97.5% = 436)
|
| 20 | 8:07 AM | 220 |
c(2.5% = 126)
|
c(97.5% = 277)
|
| 21 | 8:07 AM | 1976 |
c(2.5% = 1138)
|
c(97.5% = 2165)
|
| 22 | 8:07 AM | 1347 |
c(2.5% = 820)
|
c(97.5% = 1508)
|
| 23 | 8:07 AM | 528 |
c(2.5% = 267)
|
c(97.5% = 642)
|
| 24 | 8:07 AM | 411 |
c(2.5% = 249)
|
c(97.5% = 470)
|
| 25 | 8:07 AM | 463 |
c(2.5% = 207)
|
c(97.5% = 529)
|
| 26 | 8:07 AM | 798 |
c(2.5% = 423)
|
c(97.5% = 882)
|
| 27 | 8:07 AM | 476 |
c(2.5% = 299)
|
c(97.5% = 536)
|
| 28 | 8:07 AM | 353 |
c(2.5% = 170)
|
c(97.5% = 519)
|
| 29 | 8:07 AM | 395 |
c(2.5% = 245)
|
c(97.5% = 444)
|
| 30 | 8:07 AM | 776 |
c(2.5% = 500)
|
c(97.5% = 825)
|
| 31 | 8:07 AM | 625 |
c(2.5% = 351)
|
c(97.5% = 680)
|
| 32 | 8:07 AM | 523 |
c(2.5% = 267)
|
c(97.5% = 716)
|
| 33 | 8:07 AM | 279 |
c(2.5% = 93)
|
c(97.5% = 486)
|
| 34 | 8:07 AM | 1395 |
c(2.5% = 908)
|
c(97.5% = 1552)
|
| 35 | 8:07 AM | 720 |
c(2.5% = 373)
|
c(97.5% = 871)
|
| 36 | 8:07 AM | 1009 |
c(2.5% = 667)
|
c(97.5% = 1115)
|
| 37 | 8:07 AM | 342 |
c(2.5% = 163)
|
c(97.5% = 496)
|
| 38 | 8:07 AM | 728 |
c(2.5% = 448)
|
c(97.5% = 795)
|
| 39 | 8:07 AM | 1788 |
c(2.5% = 868)
|
c(97.5% = 1969)
|
| 40 | 8:07 AM | 1105 |
c(2.5% = 680)
|
c(97.5% = 1287)
|
| 41 | 8:07 AM | 586 |
c(2.5% = 221)
|
c(97.5% = 727)
|
| 42 | 8:07 AM | 452 |
c(2.5% = 221)
|
c(97.5% = 624)
|
| 43 | 8:07 AM | 352 |
c(2.5% = 148)
|
c(97.5% = 571)
|
| 44 | 8:07 AM | 425 |
c(2.5% = 232)
|
c(97.5% = 541)
|
| 45 | 8:07 AM | 621 |
c(2.5% = 289)
|
c(97.5% = 700)
|
| 46 | 8:07 AM | 925 |
c(2.5% = 602)
|
c(97.5% = 959)
|
| 47 | 8:07 AM | 203 |
c(2.5% = 124)
|
c(97.5% = 242)
|
| 48 | 8:07 AM | 511 |
c(2.5% = 306)
|
c(97.5% = 583)
|
| 49 | 8:07 AM | 682 |
c(2.5% = 399)
|
c(97.5% = 853)
|
| 50 | 8:07 AM | 1357 |
c(2.5% = 858)
|
c(97.5% = 1531)
|
| 51 | 8:07 AM | 674 |
c(2.5% = 400)
|
c(97.5% = 846)
|
| 52 | 8:07 AM | 1109 |
c(2.5% = 650)
|
c(97.5% = 1272)
|
| 53 | 8:07 AM | 560 |
c(2.5% = 248)
|
c(97.5% = 686)
|
| 54 | 8:07 AM | 370 |
c(2.5% = 131)
|
c(97.5% = 502)
|
| 55 | 8:07 AM | 833 |
c(2.5% = 313)
|
c(97.5% = 1040)
|
| 56 | 8:07 AM | 1279 |
c(2.5% = 545)
|
c(97.5% = 1436)
|
| 57 | 8:07 AM | 987 |
c(2.5% = 479)
|
c(97.5% = 1097)
|
| 58 | 8:07 AM | 1623 |
c(2.5% = 778)
|
c(97.5% = 1819)
|
| 59 | 8:07 AM | 774 |
c(2.5% = 491)
|
c(97.5% = 896)
|
| 60 | 8:07 AM | 636 |
c(2.5% = 378)
|
c(97.5% = 743)
|
| 61 | 8:07 AM | 712 |
c(2.5% = 456)
|
c(97.5% = 842)
|
| 62 | 8:07 AM | 596 |
c(2.5% = 228)
|
c(97.5% = 785)
|
| 63 | 8:07 AM | 1096 |
c(2.5% = 548)
|
c(97.5% = 1199)
|
| 64 | 8:07 AM | 573 |
c(2.5% = 240)
|
c(97.5% = 682)
|
| 65 | 8:07 AM | 880 |
c(2.5% = 423)
|
c(97.5% = 971)
|
| 66 | 8:07 AM | 1617 |
c(2.5% = 826)
|
c(97.5% = 1780)
|
Raw Submissions
| Time of Vote | Precinct | Voter Number |
| 7:10 AM | 5107 | 2 |
| 7:41 AM | 0537 | 24 |
| 7:42 AM | 0501 | 14 |
| 7:43 AM | 0828 | 33 |
| 7:03 AM | 2714 | 2 |
| 7:40 AM | 1508 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:48 AM | 1503 | 38 |
| 7:25 AM | 0214 | 16 |
| 7:56 AM | 3636 | 33 |
| 7:13 AM | 0218 | 9 |
| 8:07 AM | 4603 | 27 |
Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions